You check the market every week, but basmati prices keep swinging like a bad cricket match. Right now in November 2025, the basmati rice price in Pakistan sits at Rs. 3,800–4,900 per 40kg bag, down 10% from last year thanks to a solid harvest. At Safeena Foods, we've shipped over 50,000 tons this year, and our buyers keep asking: what happens next? Based on REAP reports, flood damage, and global demand, here's my no-nonsense forecast for the rest of 2025 and beyond.
I talked to farmers in Hafizabad last month. They say the floods hit hard, but not everywhere. Let's break it down.
What Drove Basmati Rice Price in Pakistan This Year?
2025 started strong with stable PKR and no major droughts. But September floods in Punjab changed everything. Reuters reported thousands of hectares underwater, cutting output by 5–8%. That's why prices jumped 12% mid-year before settling.
Key factors so far:
· Harvest yield: 9.32 million tons total rice, but basmati down 3% from floods
· Export demand: UAE and UK orders up 15%, pushing local prices
· Fuel costs: Truck rates rose 8%, adding Rs. 100–150 per bag
Safeena Foods locked in rates early, so our customers saved big.
My 2025 Forecast: Stable with a Holiday Bump
From now to December, expect steady prices around Rs. 4,000–4,500 per 40kg for 1121 basmati. No big drops – floods mean tighter supply. But if rains stay away through winter, we could see Rs. 3,900 by January 2026.
Here's the month-by-month outlook:
· November–December 2025: Rs. 4,200 average. Eid prep spikes demand 10%
· Q1 2026: Possible dip to Rs. 3,900 if new crop looks good
· Full year average: Rs. 4,100 – up 5% from 2024
Global angle? India’s floods match ours, so no cheap imports. Watch USD/PKR – if it hits 290, add 5–7% to local basmati rice price in Pakistan.
How Exports Shape Basmati Rice Price in Pakistan
Pakistan's rice is a powerhouse. As one of the major exports of Pakistan, basmati made up 60% of our $3.5 billion agri-exports last year. REAP says 2025 shipments hit 1.2 million tons to Middle East alone.
But here's the catch:
· EU rules on pesticides could cut 10% of exports, raising local supply
· Saudi tenders favor our super kernel – good for farmers, steady prices
· China deal rumors: If signed, demand jumps, prices up 8%
At Safeena Foods, we export 70% of our stock. That keeps our mill prices fair for locals too.
People Also Ask
→ Will basmati prices fall in 2026? Likely yes, if monsoons cooperate. Reddit's r/Pakistan farmers predict 5–7% drop post-harvest.
→ Why are broken basmati rates so low? Under Rs. 2,500 per 40kg. Great for biryani gravy, but not grains.
→ How floods affect basmati yield? Quora says 2025 floods shaved 200,000 tons – direct hit to prices.
Risks That Could Spike Prices Overnight
Weather isn't the only villain. One bad call from the budget, and things flip.
· Fuel hikes: Add Rs. 200 per bag instantly
· Import duties on fertilizer: Up 15%, costs pass to you
· Global wars: Shipping rates already +20% from Red Sea issues
But good news? Safeena Foods hedges with fixed contracts. Our buyers never pay peak.
Lock in Your Basmati Rice Price in Pakistan Before It Changes
Forecasts are guesses, but action wins.
WhatsApp +92-308-7233362 right now and ask for our 2025 bulk quote from Safeena Foods. Free 5kg sample + nationwide delivery. We ship export grade at local rates.
Don't wait for spikes. Stock up today – your biryani deserves steady prices all year. Because in 2025, smart buyers don't chase forecasts. They secure them with mills like us. And when friends ask how you got this pakistan rice export data grade at mandi rate, just smile and say Safeena Foods.
